Reward leaderboard

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1	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	$1K	25	$748	1.0%	3.0%	$5.9M	9h
2	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	$1K	28	$724	1.0%	4.0%	$3.6M	9h
3	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	$690	31	$475	1.0%	4.0%	$11.2K	4d
4	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	$508	12	$445	1.0%	1.0%	$63.9K	1mo
5	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	$492	11	$440	1.0%	0.0%	$47.9K	1mo
6	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	$400	8	$368	1.0%	0.0%	$165.6K	4mo
7	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	$496	34	$329	1.0%	6.0%	$30.7K	4d
8	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	$500	39	$305	1.0%	17.0%	$1.6M	4mo
9	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	$300	12	$263	1.0%	1.0%	$65.3K	4mo
10	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	$400	35	$259	1.0%	4.0%	$43K	ended
11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	$296	14	$253	0.4%	0.9%	$7.8K	4mo
12	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	$400	39	$245	2.0%	4.5%	$87.3K	ended
13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	$259	10	$233	0.1%	1.1%	$65.3K	18d
14	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	$322	30	$224	1.0%	0.0%	$5.3K	ended
15	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	$250	10	$224	0.1%	1.5%	$51.9K	8mo
16	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	$241	18	$199	1.0%	3.0%	$80.3K	18d
17	Iran leadership change by December 31?	$200	16	$168	1.0%	1.0%	$11.7K	10mo
18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?3 outcomes	$200	16	$167	1.0%	3.0%	$80.3K	4mo
19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	$200	17	$167	1.0%	2.0%	$26.2K	4mo
20	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	$200	19	$162	0.2%	0.9%	$1.3K	16d
21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	$176	10	$158	1.0%	0.0%	$58.5K	4mo
22	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	$177	15	$150	1.0%	0.0%	$5K	8mo
23	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	$150	18	$123	1.0%	4.0%	$112.5K	1mo
24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 16?	$226	49	$116	4.0%	3.0%	$3.1K	21h
25	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?2 outcomes	$152	28	$110	2.2%	1.3%	$14.4K	5d
26	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	$150	28	$109	2.0%	0.5%	$8.2K	4d
27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	$132	20	$106	1.0%	2.5%	$18.9K	18d
28	Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer	$263	60	$105	2.0%	35.5%	$24.1K	—
29	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Thin	$146	31	$101	1.0%	0.0%	$40	—
30	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	$135	26	$100	1.0%	5.0%	$357.4K	4d
31	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	$200	50	$99	2.0%	22.5%	$67.2K	16d
32	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?2 outcomesThin	$200	52	$97	58.0%	0.0%	$0	16d
33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 15?	$231	59	$96	7.0%	5.0%	$4.3K	ended
34	Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Thin	$138	40	$83	1.0%	0.0%	$0	—
35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 16?Thin	$195	59	$79	7.0%	4.5%	$779	21h
36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 15?	$200	63	$75	1.0%	44.5%	$15.4K	5h
37	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Thin	$136	46	$74	1.0%	11.0%	$597	2mo
38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 15?	$200	63	$73	1.0%	44.5%	$10.4K	6h
39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 15?2 outcomes	$230	77	$54	4.0%	33.0%	$7.9K	ended
40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 15?2 outcomes	$267	80	$53	4.0%	44.0%	$1.6K	ended
41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 15?	$200	81	$38	20.0%	71.0%	$6.6K	ended
42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 15?	$142	79	$29	4.0%	35.0%	$2.2K	ended
43	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 15?Thin	$133	86	$19	6.0%	49.0%	$759	ended
44	Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Thin	$144	89	$16	40.3%	19.0%	$158	ended

Rank by adj. reward across loaded markets · Risk score 0–100, lower is safer · Adj. reward = daily reward pool discounted by risk — a ranking guide, not a per-dollar earnings figure.

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