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Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Gadi Eizenkot · Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · Rank #9 of 150 by adj. reward

Risk score

14.3/ 100Low risk
Volatility+2.1 pts
24h move 0.9%severity 6/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+10.6 pts
24h volume $7.5Kseverity 35/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+1.6 pts
spread 0.4%severity 8/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+0.0 pts
resolves in 4moseverity 0/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$292
Adj. reward
$250
Spread
0.4%
24h move
0.9%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$7.5K
Resolves
4mo
Outcome prices
Yes 53¢ · No 47¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$2.71/ day
Your score
358
Competing
38271
Your share
0.9%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$38.3K of competing score currently resting within 6.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $292/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 6.5¢, min size $100, midpoint 0.53, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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