flowlayer
flowlayer
Leaderboard

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Marine Le Pen · Resolves Apr 30, 2027 · Rank #12 of 150 by adj. reward

Risk score

10.6/ 100Low risk
Volatility+3.5 pts
24h move 1.5%severity 10/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+6.7 pts
24h volume $46.6Kseverity 22/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+0.4 pts
spread 0.1%severity 2/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+0.0 pts
resolves in 8moseverity 0/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$250
Adj. reward
$224
Spread
0.1%
24h move
1.5%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$46.6K
Resolves
8mo
Outcome prices
Yes 36¢ · No 64¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$1.17/ day
Your score
358
Competing
76312
Your share
0.5%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$76.3K of competing score currently resting within 6.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $250/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 6.5¢, min size $100, midpoint 0.36, pool) is live from Polymarket.

flowlayer

Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

Flowlayer is free. If it helps you find better markets, tips are appreciated 🙏

EVM0x2f73…69DfSOLE4a85R…ZJ3R

Flowlayer is not affiliated with Polymarket — these are personal tip addresses, not an official Polymarket wallet.

DisclaimerPrivacy