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Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 16?

27°C · Resolves Sep 16, 2026 · Rank #23 of 150 by adj. reward

Risk score

45.8/ 100Medium risk
Volatility+0.0 pts
24h move 0.0%severity 0/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+12.5 pts
24h volume $3.2Kseverity 42/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+20.0 pts
spread 5.0%severity 100/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+13.3 pts
resolves in 20hseverity 89/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$227
Adj. reward
$123
Spread
5.0%
24h move
0.0%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$3.2K
Resolves
20h
Outcome prices
Yes 59¢ · No 42¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$194/ day
Your score
302
Competing
51
Your share
85.6%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$51 of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $227/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $100, midpoint 0.59, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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