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Updated 03:38
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Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Lionel Messi · Resolves Jul 20, 2026 · Rank #31 of 147 by adj. reward

Risk score

15.3/ 100Low risk
Volatility+0.5 pts
24h move 0.2%severity 1/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+7.9 pts
24h volume $25.6Kseverity 27/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+0.4 pts
spread 0.1%severity 2/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+6.5 pts
resolves in 6dseverity 43/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$426
Adj. reward
$361
Spread
0.1%
24h move
0.2%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$25.6K
Resolves
6d
Outcome prices
Yes 34¢ · No 66¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$0.33/ day

Below the $1 daily minimum — this would not be paid out.

Your score
302
Competing
384423
Your share
0.1%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$384.4K of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $426/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $200, midpoint 0.34, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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