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Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 15?

80-81°F · Resolves Sep 15, 2026 · Rank #143 of 150 by adj. reward

Risk score

85.6/ 100High risk
Volatility+35.0 pts
24h move 47.5%severity 100/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+15.6 pts
24h volume $759severity 52/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+20.0 pts
spread 5.0%severity 100/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+15.0 pts
resolves in endedseverity 100/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$109
Adj. reward
$16
Spread
5.0%
24h move
47.5%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$759
Resolves
ended
Outcome prices
Yes 90¢ · No 11¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$99.78/ day
Your score
302
Competing
28
Your share
91.5%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$28 of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $109/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $20, midpoint 0.90, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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