flowlayer
flowlayer
Updated 03:40
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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No change · Resolves Jul 29, 2026 · Rank #9 of 147 by adj. reward

Risk score

31.5/ 100Low risk
Volatility+25.7 pts
24h move 11.0%severity 73/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+0.0 pts
24h volume $1.4Mseverity 0/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+4.0 pts
spread 1.0%severity 20/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+1.8 pts
resolves in 15dseverity 12/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$1.3K
Adj. reward
$857
Spread
1.0%
24h move
11.0%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$1.4M
Resolves
15d
Outcome prices
Yes 66¢ · No 35¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$4.92/ day
Your score
302
Competing
76609
Your share
0.4%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$76.6K of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $1.3K/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $200, midpoint 0.66, pool) is live from Polymarket.

flowlayer

Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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