flowlayer
flowlayer
Updated 05:03
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Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

July 31 · Resolves Jul 31, 2026 · Rank #18 of 150 by adj. reward

Risk score

32.2/ 100Low risk
Volatility+19.8 pts
24h move 8.5%severity 57/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+3.0 pts
24h volume $248.1Kseverity 10/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+8.0 pts
spread 2.0%severity 40/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+1.4 pts
resolves in 17dseverity 9/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$600
Adj. reward
$407
Spread
2.0%
24h move
8.5%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$248.1K
Resolves
17d
Outcome prices
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$61.35/ day
Your score
302
Competing
2656
Your share
10.2%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$2.7K of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $600/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $200, midpoint 0.34, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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