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Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Magdalena Andersson · Resolves Sep 13, 2026 · Rank #11 of 147 by adj. reward

Risk score

37.5/ 100Medium risk
Volatility+8.2 pts
24h move 3.5%severity 23/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+6.3 pts
24h volume $54.4Kseverity 21/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+8.0 pts
spread 2.0%severity 40/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+15.0 pts
resolves in endedseverity 100/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$400
Adj. reward
$250
Spread
2.0%
24h move
3.5%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$54.4K
Resolves
ended
Outcome prices
Yes 91¢ · No 9¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$6.66/ day
Your score
335
Competing
19762
Your share
1.7%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$19.8K of competing score currently resting within 5.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $400/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 5.5¢, min size $100, midpoint 0.91, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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