flowlayer
flowlayer
Updated 03:38
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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?

36°C · Resolves Jul 14, 2026 · Rank #147 of 147 by adj. reward

Risk score

80/ 100High risk
Volatility+35.0 pts
24h move 24.4%severity 100/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+11.1 pts
24h volume $5.9Kseverity 37/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+19.6 pts
spread 4.9%severity 98/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+14.3 pts
resolves in 8hseverity 95/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$436
Adj. reward
$87
Spread
4.9%
24h move
24.4%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$5.9K
Resolves
8h
Outcome prices
Yes 60¢ · No 40¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$436/ day
Your score
302
Competing
0
Your share
100.0%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$0 of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $436/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $50, midpoint 0.63, pool) is live from Polymarket.

flowlayer

Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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